An introduction to information security

by The Open University

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Threats, outcomes and impacts

For the purposes of this unit, we define a threat to an information asset as a possible way in which the asset can have its security requirements breached, and we define the outcome of a threat as the way in which the asset's security requirements would be breached if the threatened action were to occur. Recall from Section 4 that the security requirements are confidentiality, integrity and availability.

A complete picture of the relationship between an information asset, the threats to it and their outcomes is set out in Figure 4. Figure 4 is adapted from Figure 5-4 of Alberts and Dorofee (2003).

Figure 4View larger imageFigure 4 The relationship between an information asset, the threats to it and their outcomesLong description

Figure 4 classifies the threats into four types, as follows.

The figure also identifies four possible outcomes for each threat, as follows.

Related to the concept of threat is that of attack: a threat is a way of breaching the security requirements of an information asset; an attack is an attempt to breach them. Any threat could turn into an attack, which could be successful or unsuccessful. An unsuccessful attack has no impact.

The impact on an organisation of a successful attack on an information asset will depend on how, and to what degree, the organisation's operations are disrupted. For instance, the impact could be measured in terms of: the embarrassment caused to the organisation, or its loss of reputation; the harm caused by its being unable to fulfil its mission; lost revenue, wasted investment, or other financial loss; or legal or regulatory liabilities incurred.

The relationship between threat and impact is a simple one: a threat has the potential to have an impact on an organisation.

Activity 18

(a) Define ‘threat? and ‘attack? in relation to an information asset.

(b) Distinguish between the ‘outcome? of a threat and the ‘impact? of an attack.

(c) Describe, with examples, the possible types of threat to an information asset.

(d) Describe the possible outcomes of a threat to an information asset, in each case stating which of the asset's security requirements has been breached.

(e) Read the Reuters  report entitled ‘Top secret military plans found on city dump?. Identify the information asset, the threat to it and the outcome of the threat. What do you think was the impact of the security breach?

Discussion

(a) A threat is a possible way in which an information asset can have its security requirements breached. An attack is an attempt to breach the security requirements of an asset.

(b) The outcome of a threat is the way in which the security requirements of an information asset would be breached if the threatened action were to occur. The impact of an attack is the cost to the organisation, in terms of financial loss, loss of reputation, etc. of the breach of an information asset's security requirements.

(c) The types of threat are:

(d) The possible outcomes are:

(e) The information asset consisted of secret ground plans to military installations in Cyprus. The threat is the disposal of these plans as ordinary rubbish, which is probably a deliberate action by someone inside the military. The outcome is the disclosure of the physical documents, presumably in breach of their confidentiality requirements. The impact is difficult to assess, but certainly included embarrassment and loss of reputation, and may even have had much more serious effects, such as making critical information available to hostile groups.

Original Copyright © 2007 The Open University. Now made available within the Creative Commons framework under the CC Attribution – Non-commercial licence (see http://creativecommons.org/by-nc-sa/2.0/uk/).